Coming soon
The Headline Said X. The Paper Said Y.
Viral scientific claims compared to their actual source studies — the gap between press releases and what the peer-reviewed paper concluded, documented case by case.
Coming soon
The Viral Statistic That Wasn't
A running log of widely-shared numbers that don't hold up. Each entry traces the figure back to its actual origin and documents exactly how the distortion happened.
Coming soon
Out-of-Context Images — Documented Cases
Photographs and video clips that circulated with false or misleading captions. Original source verified, timeline reconstructed, share-count at time of correction recorded.
Coming soon
Common Medical Myths, Examined
Things "everyone knows" about health that peer-reviewed evidence contradicts — from nutrition to vaccines to sleep, checked against the actual studies.
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Are Trans People Overrepresented as Mass Shooters?
Politicians and political organizations have used this claim to justify legislation targeting the trans community. Three databases, every definition, full sensitivity analysis — and the strongest opposing arguments steelmanned using their own data.
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Primary sources
- Gun Violence Archive (GVA) — N=5,900+, 2013–2026
- Violence Prevention Project — strict definition, through 2024
- Mother Jones mass shootings database — 1982–2025
- Williams Institute — Trans population estimates (August 2025)
- FBI Active Shooter Incidents Report 2024
- CPRC / John Lott — opposing claim, steelmanned and examined
- FactCheck.org, PolitiFact, Snopes — independent verification
- ADL, GLAAD, Human Rights Campaign
Voter Fraud — The Documented Record
1,620 proven cases against 2.5 billion ballots. Every fraud type measured per capita. Every 2020 lawsuit outcome. The Fulton County FBI raid. And the only confirmed election law violation by a major political operation in Georgia's 2024 cycle — and who committed it.
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Primary sources
- Heritage Foundation Election Fraud Database — 1,620 cases, Dec 2025
- Brennan Center for Justice — voter fraud research, 2017–2024
- DOJ Public Integrity Section — prosecution data & 2023 report
- CISA — "Most secure election in American history" (Nov 12, 2020)
- Georgia State Election Board — America PAC reprimand (Feb 18, 2026)
- MIT Election Lab, Brookings Institution, Cato Institute, GAO
- 60+ 2020 election lawsuit court records across 12 states
Border Crossings — What The Charts Actually Show
25 years of CBP encounter data. Title 42 recidivism inflation quantified. Methodology changes that break every comparison. Every major political claim tested — and both sides steelmanned.
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CBP Encounter Data
Pew Research
CBO 2024
MPI
TRAC Syracuse
Cato Institute
Policing, Race & Crime: What the Data Shows
FBI crime data, use-of-force studies, racial disparity in stops and shootings. Both the reform and law-and-order positions steelmanned against primary evidence.
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FBI UCR
BJS
Knox et al.
Fryer 2016
Roland Fryer
Coming soon
The National Debt — What Both Parties Actually Did
Deficit spending by administration, by Congress, and by policy area. CBO and Treasury data without the selective framing either party uses.
Coming soon
Job Creation Claims — Presidents vs. The Data
Every administration's jobs record against BLS data — with context for what presidents actually control vs. what was already in motion.
Coming soon
Was Hitler a Socialist?
What historians document about Nazi economic policy, the party's relationship with German industrialists, and how the ideology is categorized in academic literature.
Coming soon
The Party Switch — Did the Two Parties Really Swap?
Voting records, party platforms, and regional realignment data from 1948 to 1980 — what actually happened and where the historical consensus sits today.
Coming soon
Columbus and America — What The Record Actually Shows
Pre-Columbian contact, indigenous populations, and what "discovery" meant to contemporaries — primary documents and archaeological evidence vs. the simplified story.
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The Moon Landing — What The Evidence Shows
Every major conspiracy claim examined against independent scientific verification — retroreflectors, Soviet tracking data, photographic analysis, and engineering records.
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Climate Change: The Science and the Data
What the IPCC actually projects. Temperature records, sea level, attribution science. Both climate denial and alarmist overclaiming steelmanned against the primary data.
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IPCC AR6
NASA GISS
NOAA
Berkeley Earth
HadCRUT5
Coming soon
How Reproducible Is Nutrition Research?
Why diet headlines contradict each other so often — study design, funding sources, statistical methods, and what the meta-analyses actually conclude.
Coming soon
AI Risk — Separating Expert Opinion From Hype
What AI researchers actually say about near-term and long-term risk in published literature vs. media narratives on both the alarmist and dismissive ends.
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The Gender Wage Gap — What the Data Actually Shows
The raw 77-cent figure vs. the adjusted gap. What each statistic actually measures, what causes the residual gap, and what neither side in the debate gets right.
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BLS ATUS
OECD 2023
Goldin 2014
Audit studies
U.S. Inflation (2021–2026): Causes, Drivers, and Context
CPI timeline from 0.3% to 9.1% and back. Supply chain, stimulus, and energy decomposed. International comparison. Federal Reserve response. Both sides steelmanned.
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BLS CPI-U
Fed FRED
CBO
OECD
U.S. Federal Spending: Where the Money Goes
FY2026 budget breakdown. Social Security, Medicare, defense, and net interest explained. The debt trajectory and what CBO projects. Both sides steelmanned.
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CBO Jan 2026
OMB
Treasury
Tax Foundation
Coming soon
Does Raising Minimum Wage Kill Jobs?
The economics literature is more divided than either party admits. Every major study and methodology — including the 2021 CBO report both sides cited selectively.
Coming soon
Trickle-Down Economics — What The Research Found
Tax cut studies from Reagan, Bush, and Trump-era policy changes measured against actual GDP, wage, and inequality outcomes in peer-reviewed economic literature.
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Gender-Affirming Care for Minors — What the Evidence Shows
Puberty blockers, hormones, and surgeries — every major study, the Cass Review, counter-critiques, international policy splits, and what the data actually shows. Both sides steelmanned.
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WPATH SOC8
Cass Review
AAP
Endocrine Society
Tordoff 2022
Yale Law
Trevor Project
Vaccine Safety & Efficacy: What the Data Actually Shows
Over 23 million children studied across 138 studies. No link to autism. Real but rare adverse events. COVID vaccine trials, myocarditis rates, VAERS vs V-safe, childhood schedule debate. Every argument steelmanned.
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Primary sources
- Cochrane Systematic Review (2021) — 138 studies, 23M+ children
- Hviid et al. (2019, Ann Intern Med) — 657,461 Danish children
- Jain et al. (2015, JAMA) — 95,727 U.S. children
- CDC VSD, VAERS, V-safe surveillance systems
- Pfizer & Moderna Phase 3 trials (73,968 participants)
- Brighton Collaboration standardized case definitions
- IOM/National Academies 2013 Schedule Review
- WHO GACVS vaccine safety assessments
Ultra-Processed Food: What the Research Actually Shows
The NIH feeding trial. 45 cohort studies. NOVA classification explained. Mechanisms proposed and contested. Both sides of the nutrition debate steelmanned.
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Hall et al. 2019
NOVA
NutriNet
BMJ meta-analyses
Coming soon
U.S. Healthcare Costs — Why They're So High
International price comparisons, administrative overhead data, and what economists across the ideological spectrum actually agree the main drivers are.
Coming soon
Mental Health & Social Media — What The Research Shows
The correlation between teen smartphone use and mental health outcomes — study quality, causation questions, and what the strongest evidence actually supports.
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Does Religiosity Correlate With Better Social Outcomes?
Crime rates, social trust, wellbeing, charitable giving. What Pew Research, Gallup, and academic studies actually find when comparing more and less religious populations.
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Baier & Wright
VanderWeele
Pew
Gallup
GSS
Religion and Violence — Parsing the Actual Numbers
Claims about religiously motivated conflict measured against terrorism databases, historical data, and how researchers define and count religious motivation.
Encyclopedia of Wars
RELAC
GTD
Europol
Fearon & Laitin
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U.S. Gun Violence vs. Peer Nations
Per-capita firearm death rates across OECD nations. Homicide and suicide decomposed. Mass shooting frequency. Ownership correlations. Policy evidence from Australia, the UK, and U.S. states. Both sides steelmanned.
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CDC WONDER
WHO
UNODC
Small Arms Survey
RAND 2023
FBI UCR
Most Educated Countries in the World — The Full Ranking
47 countries ranked by OECD tertiary attainment. What each top-third nation excels in — engineers, scientists, teachers, researchers. The access-vs-performance paradox. Gender gaps. Spending vs. outcomes.
OECD EAG 2025
UNESCO UIS
PISA 2022
UNDP HDR
World Bank
Coming soon
Healthcare Outcomes — What the U.S. Actually Gets
International price comparisons, administrative overhead data, and what economists across the ideological spectrum actually agree the main drivers are.
Coming soon
Incarceration Rates — The International Context
International incarceration rates, demographic breakdowns, recidivism data, and what policy changes have and haven't worked — measured against BJS and Sentencing Commission data.
